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Weekend Box Office Projections 5/6: What a Shock!
Posted: Sun May 06, 2007 3:26 pm
by AndyDursin
No surprise here
That's a great opening. We'll see how it holds up in spite of some reviews.
LUCKY YOU will be a huge flop for WB -- the movie cost a fortune and they'll be eating a huge loss on it!
1 N Spider-Man 3 Sony $148,000,000 - 4,252 - $34,807 $148,000,000 $258 1
2 1 Disturbia P/DW $5,720,000 -36.6% 3,132 +85 $1,826 $59,883,000 $20 4
3 4 Fracture NL $3,420,000 -49.8% 2,365 -78 $1,446 $26,453,000 - 3
4 2 The Invisible BV $3,125,000 -59.5% 2,019 - $1,547 $12,346,000 - 2
5 3 Next Par. $2,768,000 -61.2% 2,733 +8 $1,012 $11,835,000 - 2
6 N Lucky You WB $2,515,000 - 2,525 - $996 $2,515,000 - 1
7 7 Meet the Robinsons BV $2,466,000 -49.1% 2,107 -354 $1,170 $91,771,000 - 6
8 5 Blades of Glory P/DW $2,302,000 -55.4% 2,113 -943 $1,089 $111,632,000 $61 6
9 6 Hot Fuzz Rog. $2,054,000 -57.9% 1,266 -6 $1,622 $16,145,000 - 3
10 10 Are We Done Yet? SonR $1,700,000 -50.7% 1,704 -997 $997 $46,106,000 - 5
11 8 Vacancy SGem $1,450,000 -64.7% 1,698 -853 $853 $16,436,000 $19 3
12 9 The Condemned LGF $1,050,000 -72.4% 2,310 - $454 $5,997,000 - 2
13 12 Kickin' It Old Skool YFG $875,000 -64.8% 1,585 -231 $552 $3,791,000 - 2
14 14 Wild Hogs BV $862,000 -53.2% 960 -642 $897 $160,055,000 - 10
15 11 In the Land of Women WB $730,000 -72.5% 1,008 -1,147 $724 $10,039,000 - 3
Posted: Mon May 07, 2007 2:11 am
by romanD
has anyone seen disturbia? it keeps going and going... and it has decent reviews... quite a surprise hit hu? good for Transformers that LeBeouf is now a "star"...
Posted: Mon May 07, 2007 11:07 am
by AndyDursin
romanD wrote:has anyone seen disturbia? it keeps going and going... and it has decent reviews... quite a surprise hit hu? good for Transformers that LeBeouf is now a "star"...
I didn't, but it's done fairly well.
What's amazing are the other records SPIDER-MAN 3 smashed internationally in nearly every country it opened last week. I guess Spidey travels better than the Man of Steel!
Posted: Mon May 07, 2007 11:07 am
by AndyDursin
romanD wrote:has anyone seen disturbia? it keeps going and going... and it has decent reviews... quite a surprise hit hu? good for Transformers that LeBeouf is now a "star"...
I didn't, but it's done fairly well.
What's amazing are the other records SPIDER-MAN 3 smashed internationally in nearly every country it opened last week. I guess Spidey travels better than the Man of Steel!
At the foreign box office, Spider-Man 3 captured another record: biggest overall weekend, with an estimated $227 million from 107 countries since Tuesday. Add in domestic's $148 million and, all told, Spider-Man 3 generated $375 million, which tops Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith's $303.9 million as the highest-grossing worldwide debut of all time—a notable feat but one achieved mostly through the sheer mass of the release.
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20070506/ap_en_mo/box_office
Posted: Mon May 07, 2007 11:16 am
by romanD
well, they bombarded every theater, there is more less nothing else shown, the ticket sales will go down quite a lot next week as really everybody saw it and so far nobody liked it.
Compared to SR Im sure that had not even half of the copies in Germany and given its desastrous b.o. here they will not try to break any records with Supi here in Germany again... lol
shrek 3 and potc3 will take away a lot of spidey tickets...
Posted: Mon May 07, 2007 11:22 am
by AndyDursin
I'm not so sure Roman. I can't see SHREK doing the business of Spider-Man, and I'm looking forward to PIRATES but my guess is that it'll perform maybe just as well long-term but will not do the business off the bat this film would.
SHREK to me is like a fad -- I'll be stunned if it shatters records and/or comes near the eventual grosses of either Spider-Man or Pirates.
Posted: Mon May 07, 2007 11:25 am
by romanD
it is at least a very exciting battle this summer at the bo. I guess FF2 will be a big loser, the first was fun and did ok, but nothing to warrant a sequel I think.
What else is lined up? Transformers can be huge or bomb (I hope the latter, Bay needs to be chased away)...
Posted: Mon May 07, 2007 11:41 am
by AndyDursin
It'll be a good summer with Spidey, Pirates...I'm curious to see how well Transformers will do since it's a toy franchise that recently came back, but was most popular when I was a kid 20 years ago.
Fantastic Four will do fine as well, I wasn't crazy about the original but it was quite popular.
It's gonna be an interesting summer!
Posted: Mon May 07, 2007 11:44 am
by romanD
let's hope TRANSFORMERS is another big miscalculation from Bay. Oh my, new score by Steve Jablonsky... has there ever been a bigger hack on such a big movie???
Posted: Mon May 07, 2007 11:49 am
by Monterey Jack
AndyDursin wrote:SHREK to me is like a fad
That's what people said about the second film before it opened, and it grossed over $400 million in the U.S. alone.
Shrek 3 will do
huge business because it's got over a month before Pixar's
Ratatoulie hits in late June to attract the same family audience. Personally, I'm a big fan of both previous
Shrek movies, so I'm looking forward to
The Third.

Posted: Mon May 07, 2007 11:52 am
by AndyDursin
Monterey Jack wrote:AndyDursin wrote:SHREK to me is like a fad
That's what people said about the second film before it opened, and it grossed over $400 million in the U.S. alone.
Shrek 3 will do
huge business because it's got over a month before Pixar's
Ratatoulie hits in late June to attract the same family audience. Personally, I'm a big fan of both previous
Shrek movies, so I'm looking forward to
The Third.

Yeah, it doesn't appeal to me. SHREK 2 was like sitting in the dentist's office for 90 endless minutes. But, I'm not the target audience either, though I don't think it's going to be smashing records this time. SPIDEY and PIRATES are also "family" fare to some degree in that kids flock to both of them.
Posted: Mon May 07, 2007 11:58 am
by romanD
I thought the first shrek was already mediocre, but the second I turned off on dvd after 30minutes... i didnt get the overall storyline (wasnt she supposed to be an ogre, that the curse was turning into a human at day and not into an ogre at night? so why does she have human parents???) and the jokes, well, they were just filmparodies... so what is so genius about it? will never watch shrek 3...
Posted: Mon May 07, 2007 5:24 pm
by AndyDursin
romanD wrote:I thought the first shrek was already mediocre, but the second I turned off on dvd after 30minutes... i didnt get the overall storyline (wasnt she supposed to be an ogre, that the curse was turning into a human at day and not into an ogre at night? so why does she have human parents???) and the jokes, well, they were just filmparodies... so what is so genius about it? will never watch shrek 3...
I feel asleep on SHREK the first time I watched it in the theater. That's the only time in my life that's happened (in a theater at least!). I appreciated it for what it was, but I think there are only so many trips to the well with this franchise, it reminds me of the humor of ALADDIN. Years from now it will be dated.
Anyway, kids like it, but I'm with you that I have no interest in seeing it either as a consumer.
Posted: Mon May 07, 2007 6:23 pm
by mkaroly
I watched the first SHREK and thought it was okay- but I didn't like it enough to want to see all the sequels. I'll be skipping S3 too.