Box Office Estimates Friday 12/30: NARNIA Leaps To #1

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AndyDursin
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Box Office Estimates Friday 12/30: NARNIA Leaps To #1

#1 Post by AndyDursin »

NARNIA actually surged ahead of Kong all week.

One thing is certain: this will be the first, and possibly last, time that Hollywood jams so many movies into the Christmas day frame. THE PRODUCERS is tanking big-time (not even in the Top 10 -- though how many screens is it on?), but on the other hand, few outside of the top tier are making much noise at all....it was easy to get buried this season simply because there were too many releases around December 25th. Movies like GEISHA, MUNICH, RUMOR HAS IT, etc. had better hope for playdates into the new year or they'll all rank as flops.

CHRONICLES OF NARNIA: THE LION, THE WITCH AND THE WARDROBE, THE 9.5 202.0
KING KONG 8.6 151.3
FUN WITH DICK AND JANE 6.1 49.4
CHEAPER BY THE DOZEN 2 5.5 41.4
RUMOR HAS IT 3.2 18.4
MEMOIRS OF A GEISHA 2.8 23.3
FAMILY STONE 2.7 38.7
RINGER, THE 2.4 16.1
HARRY POTTER AND THE GLOBLET OF FIRE 2.3 271.9
MUNICH 1.5 11.0

Carlson2005

#2 Post by Carlson2005 »

Munich is still in fairly limited release, so I doubt that has too much to worry about just yet - especially since it's hardly Christmas fayre ("Hey, honey, whadda ya wanna see on Christmas Day? Snow and lions, the big monkey or a bunch of Israelis killing a bunch of Arabs?"). The real problem seems to be too many bad movies rather than too many movies - by all accounts, The Producers and Rumor Has It are both must miss movies and Memoirs of a Geisha seems to have alienated most of its potential audience one way or another.

That said, it doesn't explain how the dire-sounding Family Gallstone and Cheaper by the Dozen 2: There Goes Steve Martin's Credibility Again have done the surprisingly large numbers they have. Still, on the plus side, at least Harry Potter knocked ROTS off the overseas top-spot as the years biggest international hit. :D

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AndyDursin
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#3 Post by AndyDursin »

Carlson2005 wrote:Munich is still in fairly limited release, so I doubt that has too much to worry about just yet - especially since it's hardly Christmas fayre ("Hey, honey, whadda ya wanna see on Christmas Day? Snow and lions, the big monkey or a bunch of Israelis killing a bunch of Arabs?"). The real problem seems to be too many bad movies rather than too many movies - by all accounts, The Producers and Rumor Has It are both must miss movies and Memoirs of a Geisha seems to have alienated most of its potential audience one way or another.

That said, it doesn't explain how the dire-sounding Family Gallstone and Cheaper by the Dozen 2: There Goes Steve Martin's Credibility Again have done the surprisingly large numbers they have. Still, on the plus side, at least Harry Potter knocked ROTS off the overseas top-spot as the years biggest international hit. :D
Good news? I'd rather sit through Episode III in a second over Harry Potter. :lol:

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#4 Post by AndyDursin »

Here are the official numbers from the weekend.

No doubt KONG will be profitable, and quite so given international revenues -- but surely it is a major disappointment for a studio that harbored expectations that this was THE biggest film of the century, if not one of the biggest movies of all-time. Their hype and advertising and endless promotion (double that of Episode III or any film from 2005 for that matter) were endless, and the results aren't going to be what they were anticipating domestically.

At any rate, I hope Peter Jackson learns some restraint for his next project -- they enabled him to produce whatever he wanted, and the result was a bloated, 3-hour marathon that won't even be the #1 film of the holiday season. No doubt given the anticipation and hype, that has to be somewhat of a shock to Universal, being drilled by NARNIA, which seems to have word of mouth among other things going for it.

1 2 The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, The Witch and The Wardrobe Buena Vista Pictures Distribution $33,712,024 $225,703,346 4 3853
2 1 King Kong Universal Pictures Distribution $31,826,925 $174,559,825 3 3627
3 3 Fun With Dick and Jane Sony Pictures Releasing $21,025,463 $64,607,789 2 3056
4 4 Cheaper by the Dozen 2 20th Century Fox Distribution $18,857,703 $54,684,215 2 3211
5 10 Rumor Has It... Warner Bros. Pictures Distribution $11,790,273 $26,865,647 2 2815
6 6 The Family Stone 20th Century Fox Distribution $10,297,267 $46,334,354 3 2464
7 5 Memoirs of a Geisha DreamWorks SKG, Sony Pictures Releasing $10,215,915 $30,633,403 4 1547
8 7 The Ringer 20th Century Fox, Fox Searchlight Pictures $8,050,428 $21,652,504 2 1853
9 9 Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire Warner Bros. Pictures International, Warner Bros. Pictures Distribution $7,635,442 $277,083,157 7 2316
10 8 Munich DreamWorks SKG, Universal Pictures $6,436,850 $15,949,005 2 532
11 11 Syriana Warner Bros. Pictures Distribution $5,275,483 $38,913,027 6 1725
12 14 The Producers Universal Pictures $5,110,290 $11,723,457 3 978

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